Debunking Sports Myths

Defense doesn’t win championships. Teamwork isn’t what it’s cracked up to be. Momentum is a myth […] Chicago Cubs aren’t cursed; they just stink…[and] punting on fourth down is largely a waste. No matter how many games in a row a team wins, the likelihood of success in the next at-bat or the next game is no different than it is when no hot streak exists. For this reason and a few others, the authors say, the basketball strategy of passing to a shooter on a hot streak is more often than not a loser. In the end, they determine, stunningly, that home-field advantage in virtually all sports is largely due to the bias of officials toward the home team. The authors attribute this not to a widespread conspiracy but to a common psychological trope: people want to be liked and to be confirmed in their judgments.

See review of Scorecasting in the New York Times by Bruce Weber.

Comments (5)

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  1. Bruce says:

    Interesting, but what’s this got to do with health??

  2. Vicki says:

    No such thing as getting on a hot streak? That’s hard to believe.

  3. John Goodman says:

    What can I say, Bruce. Sometimes the spirit moves me in other directions.

  4. Devon Herrick says:

    It’s interesting how sports analysts are now using statistical analysis to parse the data on sports teams, games and individual players the same way a financial analysts would parse data on stocks being traded in relation to financial statements disclosed to the SEC.

  5. Virginia says:

    Looks like it would be a good book… if I liked sports.